What? Too soon? It's better to be early than late right? Why can't we handicap next year's Oscar contenders for 2013 a full year before the nominations go out and two weeks before this year's Oscars are handed out? Hell, this website Never Too Early Movie Predictions beat this blog by almost a month and a half. Who's slacking now? Damn, that site even goes forward four years and looks at Oscar 2017. Avatar 3? Really?
A year ago, the movies on the minds of most everyone for this Oscar season were things like Brad Pitt's Moneyball, Glenn Close as Margaret Thatcher in The Iron Lady, J.J. Abrams' Super 8, Ryan Gosling's Drive, and the soon-to-be-polarizing Melancholia . The predictions were mostly right. Drive has a future as a cult flick on par with Fight Club, but not so much as an Oscar winner. Super 8 was a fun, passable family flick but not award-worthy.
The movies that will make up the categories for next year's Oscars haven't even been released yet, and well, some of them are probably still in production. They are literally being lensed and edited right now for a late summer or fall release.
It's time to start making your wagers now. I am betting my proverbial farm on Steven Spielberg's Lincoln with Daniel Day-Lewis as the titular president.
Words cannot adequately express how excited I am that Daniel Day-Lewis is playing Abraham Lincoln for Steven Spielberg. I can't imagine how this would suck, unless Spielberg decides to add an animated Martian and a puppy sidekick to hang with Honest Abe.
The Great Gatsby
Leonardo DiCaprio, Tobey Maguire, Carey Mulligan and Isla Fisher take on the F. Scott Fitzgerald novel with the help of....Baz Luhrmann. Meet your friendly's new favorite movie. You will know the songs by heart by this time next year, against your better judgment. And if this one is equal parts fluff and drama -- like Moulin Rouge -- there will be awards to be had.
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
All your favorites are back in Peter Jackson's second go-around with the Tolkien saga. Look for this one next Christmas season, and possibly at awards time.
Every Wes Anderson picture is a classic to his devotees, and by the looks of the trailer and the cast, it could move far beyond expectations. But that's what we always say about Anderson movies. We froth over every detail and trailer like rabid dogs. Harvey Keitel and Tilda Swinton, along with Bruce Willis and Bill Murray. Just take my money.
The Silver Linings Playbook
A tale about a teacher leaving a mental institution to live with his mother "starring Bradley Cooper" screams "mehhh!" but directed by David O. Russell and featuring Robert DeNiro sweetens the pot for Oscar time.
Hugh Jackman as Jean Valjean. Russell Crowe as Inspector Javert. Anne Hathaway as Fantine, and Sacha Baron Cohen as Thénardier. This may just turn a new generation on to this classic work. Does anyone remember the 1998 version? Nah.
Whatever It Is That Terence Malick Is Working On
Who cares what it is. Maybe Lawless, Voyage Of Time, Knight Of Cups, or the other two in-development projects he has on IMDb Pro will work for me.
Mary J. Blige playing the legendary Nina Simone? Could work for some folks in the Academy, and would at least garner music and makeup noms.
Kill Bin Laden
With Tom Hardy, Rooney Mara and Guy Pearce, dramatizing the run-up to the killing of the titular terrorist leader. But who will play Bin Laden? Or at least which special effects house will fabricate the shattered skull?
Amanda Seyfried as Linda Lovelace the porn star will turn some heads because of the expected nudity, but if she can make the role pop, and the supporting cast does its job, she could get a Best Actress nom. Trouble With The Curve Clint Eastwood and Amy Adams team up for a tale about an ailing baseball scout who takes his daughter along for one last recruiting trip. If it's more piognant than sugary, Oscar will come calling. Django Unchained
Leonardo DiCaprio is a slave owner who pits his slaves in death-duels for his own amusement on his plantation. Jamie Foxx's Django escapes, and slave enforcer Samuel L. Jackson goes running after him. It's QT, so it will be a must-see, and with Leo as an actual asshole...well, that's a selling point.
This one could very well prove to be this decade's LA Confidential, with Nick Nolte, Ryan Gosling, Sean Penn and Josh Brolin teaming up in this upcoming film-noir centering on a fight between the LAPD and the Mafia post-World War II. Oh, and Emma Stone as a femme fatale. Just saying...
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On The Road
Walter Salles long in the works version of Jack Kerouac's classic has -- duh -- great source material going for it and a cast featuring Sam Riley, Viggo Mortensen, Steve Buscemi, Kristen Stewart, and Terrence Howard among others. Hopefully it won't get bungled and marketed as some sort of MTV romp the way that The Rum Diary was.