Woody Williams Stats Not So Solid

I hate to keep coming back to the Woody Williams issue, but I can’t take it anymore. I’ve had enough. No matter how many times I say that Woody’s years in San Diego have to be discounted because of the ballpark, someone always goes with the “he had solid seasons in San Diego” argument. It’s like they can look at the numbers, but they can’t look at the numbers.

I’m going to end this frigging nonsense now. So, Richard Justice, pay attention. Justice justifies the Woody Williams signing saying that “Williams seemed like a solid, no-risk signing. He was coming off a solid season in San Diego, and there was no reason to think he was at the end of the line.” (Emphasis mine).

ENOUGH.

Justice wants to look at Woody’s San Diego numbers. But he doesn’t really want to look at Woody’s San Diego numbers. So hold on, because I’m looking at the damn numbers.

These are Woody’s basic numbers for his 2006 season in San Diego: 39 games pitched. 12W-5L. 24 starts. 145.3 innings pitched. 152 hits. 68 runs. 59 earned runs. 21 home runs. 3.65 ERA. And a league average ERA of 4.04.

Yeah, that looks okay. Not bad. Not good. Solid. But let’s take another, deeper look, at those numbers.

Now, remember, Woody’s pitching for the Padres. And the Padres play at Petco Park. A renowned pitcher’s ballpark, kind of like the Astrodome used to be. But the Padres don’t play 162 games a year at Petco. They play half of those games on the road. So let’s take a look at Woody’s home and road splits.

These are Woody’s basic home numbers: 10 starts. 4-2 record. 67.2 innings pitched. 2.93 ERA. 59 hits. 26 runs. 22 earned runs. 11 homers. Very nice.

Now for Woody’s road numbers: 14 starts. 8-3 record. Only 77.2 innings pitched. 4.29 ERA. 93 hits. 42 runs. 37 earned runs. 10 homers.

He averaged 6.1 innings per game at home while surrendering just under three runs a game. But on the road, he averaged only 5.2 innings while surrendering over four runs a game. That’s a big difference.

That’s not solid.

And let’s take a quick look at Woody’s 2005 splits in San Diego. At home, he pitched 15 games and threw 92 innings with an ERA of 3.72. On the road, he pitched 13 games and threw only 67.2 innings with an ERA of 6.38.

His 2004 splits, while he was in St. Louis were equally as bad.

These stats are pretty easy to find. And if you really look at them, what looks to be solid numbers are actually pretty fucking crappy numbers. So there’s no way to justify signing Woody Williams by saying that he was a no-risk signing coming off a solid season. Because that’s just not so.

So can everybody please, PLEASE stop saying that Woody Williams had a good year in San Diego before coming to Houston, and that there was no way that last season, or what we’re getting so far this spring, could have been anticipated. It’s all right there in the numbers. This is not just something that happened over night. This was something that was happening a good three years before Williams was anywhere near close to signing with Houston.

There’s just no way to spin this. And I’m sick of the team and press trying to spin this. Hopefully some of them will read it. I doubt it though. But at least you know the facts.

--John Royal

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