Finally, last week I was able to end my recent slide, pop a 4-2 record, and get us back above .500 on the season. It's nothing to be proud of, but dammit, it's progress! And we will take progress!
Now, we head into nut cutting time in college and the pros. College football has four weeks of games left before we begin the endless parade of totally meaningful bowl games. (They mean something to gamblers, dammit!) In the NFL, we are at Week 10, past the halfway marker, and like 75 percent of the league is at or below .500. Good times!
Well, guess who's not at or below .500… ME!! So let's do this….
Memphis/HOUSTON OVER 72
I'm really tempted to take the Tigers at +6.5 in this game, too. I think Vegas is overreacting to Memphis' bubble bursting in a 45-20 loss to Navy last weekend. A week ago, this game was probably a field goal game either way. Now all of a sudden it's nearly touchdown? But the one thing I'm certain of is there will be points scored. Lots and lots of points. Houston gave up over 500 yards passing to Gunner Kiel last weekend. I'm imagining what Paxton Lynch can do.
Arkansas +8 over LSU
For LSU, there has to be a follow up effect the week after the annual slugfest with Alabama, and the way Arkansas is moving the football offensively right now, they might be the SEC team that you'd least like to see if you're an LSU fan. The Razorbacks are averaging 57 points per game in their last three games, and this LSU defense is not a typical great LSU defense. It's merely good. The game is in Baton Rouge, but we just need Arky to stay within a touchdown. Hey, while we're at it….
MISSISSIPPI STATE +8.5 over Alabama
….let's fade both sides of the LSU-Alabama donnybrook the following week.
BUCCANEERS -2 over Cowboys
By breaking his collarbone in Week 2 and watching the Cowboys go 0-6 SU without him under center, Tony Romo is cobbling together the best MVP case for a player not actually playing since Peyton Manning missed the entire season back in 2011. For betting purposes, the Cowboys are also a mere 1-5 ATS in those games. We only get a few more weeks to bet against Matt Cassel. Let's not waste this time, people.
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BRONCOS -5.5 over Chiefs
This line just looks weird. I know the Broncos finally lost their first game of the season to the Colts last week in Indianapolis, but the Broncos have owned the Chiefs. Is the market overreacting to the Chiefs win in London over the Lions two weeks ago? God, I hope not. The Lions suck worse than the DMV. The Chiefs are in trouble without Jamaal Charles. Broncos bounce back here.
EAGLES -6.5 over Dolphins
Wow, the Dan Campbell honeymoon ended quickly, didn't it? After beating the Titans and Texans in the first two games of the Campbell Era, the Dolphins have lost their last two by a combined 45 points. If you think the Dolphins are going to lose, then you may as well lay the points, too. The Dolphins last four losses have been by an average of 13 points, and against teams above .500, they're 0-4 in their last four games and have lost by an average of 34-13.
Last Week: 4-2
Season Record: 30-29-1
Listen to Sean Pendergast on SportsRadio 610 from 2 to 7 p.m. weekdays. Also, follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SeanTPendergast and like him on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/SeanTPendergast.