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Gambling! Betting Lines for the First 16 Weeks of the 2014 NFL Season!

Let's put in our NFL picks.
Let's put in our NFL picks.

Every diehard NFL fan thinks that he (or she) is smarter than the next guy (or gal).

To that end, Las Vegas is fully aware of the intellectual narcissism of Joe NFL Fan, especially the Joe NFL Fans who like to gamble, and therefore tries to take advantage by sucking us them into the game by game wagering four months before the season even begins.

Because it's never too early to start picking winners!

So here we go, a week after the first post-draft set of season win total futures were released, Cantor Gaming has now released spreads on the entire slate of NFL games from Week 1 through Week 16.

Because we need this. I need this. You need this.

(NOTE: The book doesn't put out spreads on Week 17 games this far out because of the likelihood of teams resting players for the postseason or putting players on injured reserve if they've been mathematically eliminated. In case you were wondering.)

Let's start with the part I know most of you in Houston are curious about -- the spreads on the first 15 Texans games. Here they are, observations and musings afterward:

WEEK 1: Washington Redskins at Houston Texans (-2.5, 46) WEEK 2: Houston Texans (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders WEEK 3: Houston Texans at New York Giants (-4) WEEK 4: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (-5) WEEK 5: Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5) WEEK 6: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-1) WEEK 7: Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) WEEK 8: Houston Texas at Tennessee Titans (pick 'em) WEEK 9: Philadelphia Eagles at Houston Texans (pick 'em) WEEK 10: BYE WEEK 11: Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (-1.5) WEEK 12: Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (pick 'em) WEEK 13: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-5) WEEK 14: Houston Texans (-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars WEEK 15: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-4.5) WEEK 16: Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-1)

Okay, my thoughts on these numbers:

1. Immediate reaction is kind of "Holy shit," right? I mean, a team that was 2-14 last season, let pretty much all of their significant free agents walk, cut Owen Daniels and Danieal Manning, and enters the season with the quarterback position essentially forfeited over to Ryan Fitzpatrick is favored in seven of its first 15 games? And is the underdog in only five of the games? Crazy, right?

2. Well, yeah, until you realize that there's not one spread any higher than five points either way, so this is a team, the Texans, that is playing in a bunch of coin-flipper games....a lot like the final ten weeks of last season when the games were all, what? A bunch of coin flippers!

3. Texan head-scratcher lines:

* Week 2, -2.5 at Oakland: I know it's Oakland, but still. The Texans are road favorites traveling to the black hole? God, Vegas must really (correctly) think Matt Schaub sucks.

* Week 6, -1 vs Indianapolis: Favored against Andrew Luck and the Colts, eh? Okay.

* Week 7, -3.5 at PIttsburgh: This game is on a Monday night. Clearly, Vegas has not been paying attention to how the Texans play in prime-time games on Sunday and Monday nights. I would pound this one right this very instant. In fact....be right back.... . . . . . Okay, I'm back...

* Week 14, -4 at Jacksonville: I think Vegas is sleeping on the Jags. More on this in a minute.

4. These odds (7 games favored, 5 underdog, 3 pick 'em) confirm my greatest fear for these Texans -- that their schedule is so soft and they drafted so well at every position except quarterback that they will stumble into 6 or 7 wins and will have essentially played their way out of the mix for a franchise quarterback like Marcus Mariota or Brett Hundley. The Texans' best path to a franchise quarterback, I hate to say it, is another 2-14 clunker. Just sayin'.

 

The spreads for the entire season can be found on the next two pages.. A few quick observations on these:

1. The Seahawks are favored the most among all 32 teams, with their Week 13 trip to San Francisco their only game as an underdog (+2.5). Denver is favored in 13 of 15 games, and Green Bay, New England and San Francisco are all favored 12 times.

2. The Raiders and Jaguars are the only teams that aren't favored in any games. Like I said, Vegas really hates Matt Schaub. I think bettors could learn the hard way if they fade the Jaguars this season. Their win total is set at 4.5, and I've already gone on record saying I would take the over. They went 4-12 last season and were abysmal for the first eight weeks. They play in the same dog-shit division as the Texans. So they can't go 3-3 in the division and find two more wins? Hogwash. I'd take the points in every Jags right now. I think they go maybe 7-9 at best, but they will be competitive in Year 2 under Gus Bradley. Bradley is a good coach.

3. The Texans are favored in the same number of games (7) as the Chiefs, Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens, and favored in one more than the Chargers, who made the playoffs last season.

WEEK 1 Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (-5, 44.5) New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-1, 51.5) Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams (-4.5, 45.5) Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, 40.5) Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles (-11, 52) Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-4.5, 40) Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, 43) Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears (-6.5, 48.5) Washington Redskins at Houston Texans (-2.5, 46) Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-5, 44) New England Patriots (-3.5, 47.5) at Miami Dolphins Carolina Panthers (-2, 40.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers San Francisco 49ers (-3.5, 48) at Dallas Cowboys Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7, 55.5) New York Giants at Detroit Lions (-4, 46) San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals (-3, 44.5)

WEEK 2 Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-2) Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) New Orleans Saints (-2.5) at Cleveland Browns New England Patriots (-3) at Minnesota Vikings Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers (-3.5) Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-1) Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (-3) Jacksonville Jaguars at Washington Redskins (-9) Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) at Tennessee Titans Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at San Diego Chargers St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) New York Jets at Green Bay Packers (-8.5) Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-7) Houston Texans (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-7) Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

WEEK 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-5.5) Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (pick 'em) Green Bay Packers (-1) at Detroit Lions Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals (-7) San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills (-1) Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers (-3.5) Indianapolis Colts (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots (-13) Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (-10) Houston Texans at New York Giants (-4) Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams (pick 'em) San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins (pick 'em) Chicago Bears at New York Jets (pick 'em)

WEEK 4 New York Giants at Washington Redskins (-1.5) Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-7.5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (-1.5) Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (-1) Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (-5) Detroit Lions (-1) at New York Jets Miami Dolphins (-5) at Oakland Raiders Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers (-10) Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Minnesota Vikings Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-6) New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (pick 'em) New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs (-1)

WEEK 5 Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-10) Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions (-7.5) Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5) Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-3.5) Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts (-3) Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans (-2.5) St. Louis Rams at Philadelphia Eagles (-6) Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-2.5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-7.5) Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos (-9) Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco (-7) New York Jets at San Diego Chargers (-4) Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots (-4) Seattle Seahawks (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

WEEK 6 Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-1) Detroit Lions (-1) at Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Miami Dolphins Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (pick 'em) Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2) New England Patriots (-3.5) at Buffalo Bills Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3) Denver Broncos (-6) at New York Jets Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-7) Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1) San Diego Chargers (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (-4) New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) at St. Louis Rams

 

WEEK 7 New York Jets at New England Patriots (-7.5) New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions (-1.5) Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears (-6) Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills (-2.5) Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens (-3) Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-4) Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins (-3.5) Seattle Seahawks (-6) at St. Louis Rams Cleveland Browns (-2.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-2) Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) at Oakland Raiders New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (-3) Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)

WEEK 8 San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-8.5) Detroit Lions (-1) at Atlanta Falcons Houston Texas at Tennessee Titans (pick 'em) Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) at Carolina Panthers Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) Miami Dolphins (-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) Chicago Bears at New England Patriots (-4.5) Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-2.5) Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals (-2) Oakland Raiders at Cleveland Browns (-4.5) Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints (-2.5) Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5)

WEEK 9 New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-2.5) Tampa Buccaneers at Cleveland Browns (-2.5) Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, (-11) Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) Philadelphia Eagles at Houston Texans (pick 'em) New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs (-6) San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins (-2.5) Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings (-1.5) St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-11) Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-1) Oakland Raiders at Seattle Seahawks (-14.5) Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants (-1)

WEEK 10 Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (-6) Kansas City Chiefs (-2) at Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions (-5) Dallas Cowboys (-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-1.5) Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) at New York Jets Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick 'em) Denver Broncos (-10) at Oakland Raiders St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-4) New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks (-10) Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-6) Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (-1)

WEEK 11 Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-3.5) Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-7) Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-4) Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (-1.5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins (-2.5) Denver Broncos (-4.5) at St. Louis Rams San Francisco 49ers (-3) at New York Giants Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints (-4) Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at Kansas City Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-4.5) Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-8) Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-1) Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) at Tennessee Titans

WEEK 12 Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Oakland Raiders Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-12) Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (pick 'em) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-6) New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-2.5) Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons (-7) Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Minnesota Vikings Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles (-7) Detroit Lions at New England Patriots (-6) St. Louis Rams at San Diego Chargers (-4) Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5) Washington Redskins at San Francisco 49ers (-8.5) Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos (-10) Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-2.5) Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints (-6.5)

WEEK 13 Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-3) Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-1.5) Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) Oakland Raiders at St. Louis Rams (-5.5) Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick 'em) San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-3) Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills (-2.5) Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-5) Washington Redskins at Indianapolis Colts (-6) New York Giants (-5.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars Carolina Panthers (-3) at Minnesota Vikings New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-4) New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers (-3.5) Denver Broncos (-3) at Kansas City Chiefs Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-1)

WEEK 14 Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears (-4.5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-6) Houston Texans (-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts (-1) at Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (pick 'em) St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (-2.5) New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings (-2) Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-3.5) New York Giants (-1) at Tennessee Titans Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals (-2) Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos (-11.5) San Francisco 49ers (-7) at Oakland Raiders Seattle Seahawks (-1) at Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots (-1) at San Diego Chargers Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-6.5)

WEEK 15 Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis (-1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-6.5) Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Buffalo Bills Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (-10.5) Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) at Cleveland Browns Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-3.5) Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-7) Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-4.5) Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5) Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-6.5) Denver Broncos (-3.5) at San Diego Chargers New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (-1.5) San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3) New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (-3)

WEEK 16 Tennessee Titans (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) at Washington Redskins San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers (-7) Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers (-7.5) Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-4) Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-1) Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins (-4) Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-6.5) New England Patriots (-3) at New York Jets Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) Green Bay Packers (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers New York Giants at St. Louis Rams (-3) Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) Buffalo Bills (-1) at Oakland Raiders Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) at Arizona Cardinals Denver Broncos (-1.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Listen to Sean Pendergast on SportsRadio 610 from 2 p.m. to 7 p.m. weekdays. Also, follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SeanCablinasian.


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