It's Going to Be Hot As Hell Come Summer 2100, Study Finds
Come 2100, summers in Houston will feel like Mission, Texas. That's according to a research by Climate Central, a journalism and research non-profit based out of New Jersey.
Climate Central's analysis looked at projected changes in average summer high temperatures at the end of the century for 1,001 U.S. cities, comparing theses temperatures -- the average hottest temperature during a summer day -- to current average summer highs in other cities.
On average, the analysis found most cities' average summer high to increase 7-10 degrees Fahrenheit, with some increasing as much as 12 degrees.
"When we hear about climate change, we often here that temperatures will change on average in the future," Alyson Kenward, lead researcher of the analysis, told Hair Balls. "The goal was to really get people to connect with what summers will feel like."
Houston's current average summer high is 91.63 degrees. By 2100, Climate Central projects that figure to be 97.3, the same as the current average summer high in Mission, Texas.
That's hot, but it could be worse. Houston and Corpus Christi, the two east Texas cities used in the analysis, fared far cooler than other Texas towns.
Dallas currently sits at a summer high of 93.7 degrees. By 2100, Climate Central projects that number to be more than ten degrees higher -- 103.91 -- the current summer high in Gilbert, Arizona. Laredo, with a current summer high just over 100 degrees, is expected to be as hot as Abu Dhabi -- 109 degrees -- come the end of the century.
Kenward said the difference in change between east Texas and the rest of the Lone Star State has to do with pressure systems. According to Kenward, climate research shows that high pressure systems are more likely to set up and dominate temperatures in parts of the west and the midwest. The effects of these high pressure systems can influence temperatures everywhere, Texas included, Kenward said, but it doesn't appear to extend down to the coast as much.
The study, which assumed current emissions trends to continue, didn't account for humidity or dew point. And in Houston, we know humidity makes quite the difference.
Other interesting points of note from the research: Phoenix, currently with an average summer high just shy of 104 degrees, is projected to be as hot as Kuwait City, Kuwait, 114 degrees; Las Vegas is expected to have the same average summer high as Riyedh, Saudi Arabia currently does.
"To think that there's no place in North America now that's as hot as Phoenix will be is pretty crazy," Kenward said.
Oh, and New York City, with a current average summer high of 82.38 degrees, is projected to feel like Lehigh Acres, Florida, 91.76 degrees, so now retirees won't have to move south.
Check out the rest of the project summer temperatures with this interactive map from Climate Central: