Maybe METRO planned for the $14 million problem months ago - that's the amount of additional revenue expected from October's fare increase - but according to an Official Hair Balls Pal, METRO should be worried about a lot more than $14 million. (Want to be an Official Hair Balls Pal? Send us tips!)
For starters, METRO is relying on about $236 million in expected "grant income" to cover part of this year's $1 billion budget. Trouble is, the grant money isn't guaranteed, and if the
state doesn't Feds don't come through with all that cash, METRO will have to cut projects, lower operating expenses or head back to the bank.
METRO already lists about $220 million in commercial debt on its budget, and if the grant money is covered with loans, that would mean that 45 percent of METRO's revenue is borrowed. Apparently, the lending situation is already tight. (See paragraph 1).
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New construction projects and real estate deals make up about half of METRO's budget, and if there is a cash crunch, those plans might be delayed. Bad news for METRO, considering 2009 is supposed to be a "banner year" for such projects. Of course, it might be great news for some people around town, depending on if and where they own property.
We put in some questions to Metro but haven't heard back, but when we do, we'll be happy to post a reply.
Update: Metro spokeswoman Raequel Roberts says as far as federal funding, "We
fully anticipate the funding we have put together will be sufficient to build out the program. To talk about 'what ifs' would be pure speculation."
-- Paul Knight