Tom Brady has a shot at the second undefeated regular season of his career in 2017.
Tom Brady has a shot at the second undefeated regular season of his career in 2017.
Photo by Eric Sauseda

Five Early Bargain NFL Season Win Total Bets

There is no more gambling-friendly sport than American football. In fact, I have no statistics to back this up, but I believe that baseball has been replaced by gambling on football as our nation's pastime. So as NFL training camp kicks off, the sports books have been kind enough to grace us with the first set of season win totals, up and available for you enterprising young men out there!

Season win total bets are a nice long-term ride for those of you who don't feel like dealing with the volatility that comes with betting on individual games. My comparison has always been that season win total bets are like blue-chip stock investments, while betting on individual games is like day trading.

With that in mind, here are the win totals for this coming season (subject to change as the preseason unfolds), courtesy of OddsShark, with five bets that, as of now, I REALLY like afterwards:

ARIZONA CARDINALS
OVER 8.0 -140
UNDER 8.0 +110

ATLANTA FALCONS
OVER 9.5 -130
UNDER 9.5 EVEN

BALTIMORE RAVENS
OVER 9.0 EVEN
UNDER 9.0 -130

BUFFALO BILLS
OVER 6.0 -150
UNDER 6.0 +120

CAROLINA PANTHERS
OVER 8.5 -175
UNDER 8.5 +145

CHICAGO BEARS
OVER 5.5 +135
UNDER 5.5 -165

CINCINNATI BENGALS
OVER 8.5 -105
UNDER 8.5 -125

CLEVELAND BROWNS
OVER 4.5 -115
UNDER 4.5 -115

DALLAS COWBOYS
OVER 9.5 -125
UNDER 9.5 -105

DENVER BRONCOS
OVER 8.5 -105
UNDER 8.5 -125

DETROIT LIONS
OVER 8.0 +120
UNDER 8.0 -150

GREEN BAY PACKERS
OVER 10.0 -175
UNDER 10.0 +145

HOUSTON TEXANS
OVER 8.5 -125
UNDER 8.5 -105

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
OVER 9.0 +110
UNDER 9.0 -140

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
OVER 6.0 -165
UNDER 6.0 +135

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
OVER 9.0 -130
UNDER 9.0 EVEN

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
OVER 7.5 -125
UNDER 7.5 -105

LOS ANGELES RAMS
OVER 5.5 +110
UNDER 5.5 -140

MIAMI DOLPHINS
OVER 7.5 -125
UNDER 7.5 -105

MINNESOTA VIKINGS
OVER 8.5 -125
UNDER 8.5 -105

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
OVER 12.5 -130
UNDER 12.5 EVEN

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
OVER 8.0 -125
UNDER 8.0 -105

NEW YORK GIANTS
OVER 9.0 -115
UNDER 9.0 -115

NEW YORK JETS
OVER 4.5 +160
UNDER 4.5 -200

OAKLAND RAIDERS
OVER 10.0 -105
UNDER 10.0 -125

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
OVER 8.0 -140
UNDER 8.0 +110

PITTSBURGH STEELERS
OVER 10.5 -115
UNDER 10.5 -115

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
OVER 4.5 -150
UNDER 4.5 +120

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
OVER 10.5 -115
UNDER 10.5 -115

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
OVER 8.5 -130
UNDER 8.5 EVEN

TENNESSEE TITANS
OVER 8.5 -150
UNDER 8.5 +120

WASHINGTON REDSKINS
OVER 7.5 -130
UNDER 7.5 EVEN


49ers OVER 4.5 (-150)
This is the season that the AFC South cedes its title as the worst division in the National Football League, as it is replaced by the NFC West, which consists of a regressing Seattle team (more on them in a second), an Arizona team that peaked two seasons ago, the Rams led by Jared Goff, and the Niners. Let me just say that the Niners are not a good team, but to win this bet, all they have to do is go 5-11. There's no reason they can't win a couple of home games in the division, and they cross over with the aforementioned AFC South. They also have a road game in Chicago. Also, despite his Super Bowl brain fart, I trust Kyle Shanahan to make them a better offensive team than they should be on paper. (Yes, I know Brian Hoyer is their starting quarterback, but he's AWESOME in meaningless games, of which most of the Niners season should consist.)

BRONCOS UNDER 8.5 (-125)
This is one I've already laid heavy lumber on. First-time head coach, an uninspiring quarterback competition, and a defense that's a year older and one more year removed from its peak two seasons ago. The AFC West also has two of the better teams in the AFC in Oakland and Kansas City. This is a Broncos team that has a ".500 at best" feel, and, thankfully, a .500 record wins you the UNDER.

PATRIOTS OVER 12.5 (-130)
Since the offseason, in which the Patriots went out and backed up the Brinks truck for Stephon Gilmore and traded their first-round pick for Brandin Cooks, I've said that this will be a repeat of 2007, when they went 16-0 in the regular season.The scary thing about betting OVER on win totals is the possibility of injury to a starting quarterback, but the crazy thing about the Patriots is that, even if they lost the greatest QB in the game's history (Tom Brady), their backup is still good enough (and their division so inferior) that 13 wins is still manageable.

JETS UNDER 4.5 (-200)
Typically, the lowest total on the odds board for an NFL season is around 4.5 or 5 wins, and every season, the math dictates that we will have two or three teams that finish 4-12 or worse. There's always a 2-14 or 1-15 squad every year. I'm just here to say that the Jets are a mortal lock to be one of the handful of teams that finish 4-12 or worse. A LOCK. Hell, there's plenty of conjecture that they are TRYING to lose games to get a shot at Sam Darold in the draft. I realize the players themselves aren't trying to lose games, but management is putting a roster together designed for all of us to cash in on this wager. Let's oblige!

SEAHAWKS UNDER 10.5 (-115)
So we come back around to the NFC West, which has been dominated by the Seahawks over the past five years or so. Chances are they will win the division again, but this feels more like a 10-6 or 9-7 division winner, and I'll point to three things — first, their road schedule is absolutely brutal. Road games at Green Bay, at Tennessee, at the Giants, at Dallas, and two division road games (Arizona, San Francisco) on short weeks. Second, their offensive line is still a circus (26th iN DVOA last season), and that's one position group that I'll attribute a swing of at least a couple of games to. Third, there's a good chance we are heading into the phase of this team's era when all parties — offense, defense, coaches — are beginning to hate each other, when in-fighting consumes the team from inside out.

Listen to Sean Pendergast on SportsRadio 610 from 2 to 6 p.m. weekdays. Also, follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SeanTPendergast and like him on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/SeanTPendergast.

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