NFL: This Weekend's Best Bets
Coming into the season, we all knew the Texans' schedule was relatively light. Granted, every team on the Texans' schedule was looking at the Texans as one of their opponents to justify thinking the same thing.
But here we are, two weeks in, and with the Texans at 2-0, the Colts at 0-2, and the NFC East being even worse than we'd thought, suddenly this is getting really interesting.
Check out the latest Super Bowl odds, courtesy of Bovada, with the Texans 2014 opponents in bold:
Denver Broncos .. 9/2 Seattle Seahawks .. 9/2 New England Patriots .. 8/1 San Francisco 49ers .. 11/1 Green Bay Packers .. 12/1 Philadelphia Eagles .. 12/1 Cincinnati Bengals .. 16/1 New Orleans Saints .. 20/1 San Diego Chargers .. 20/1 Carolina Panthers .. 20/1 Chicago Bears .. 33/1 Arizona Cardinals .. 33/1 HOUSTON TEXANS .. 40/1 Indianapolis Colts .. 40/1 Baltimore Ravens .. 40/1 Detroit Lions .. 40/1 Atlanta Falcons .. 50/1 Pittsburgh Steelers .. 50/1 Buffalo Bills .. 66/1 Dallas Cowboys .. 66/1 Miami Dolphins .. 66/1 Washington Redskins .. 66/1 Cleveland Browns .. 100/1 Minnesota Vikings .. 100/1 New York Jets .. 100/1 New York Giants .. 150/1 Kansas City Chiefs .. 200/1 St. Louis Rams .. 200/1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers .. 200/1 Tennessee Titans .. 200/1 Jacksonville Jaguars .. 500/1 Oakland Raiders .. 500/1
Yes, you see that correctly, venerable Texans fan! Fourteen -- FOURTEEN -- of the Texans games this season have been or will be played against teams with equal or longer Super Bowl odds! And the two that have shorter odds have Nick Foles and Andy Dalton as their quarterbacks!
Basically, two weeks in, the Texans' 2014 schedule isn't just "kind of easy." It's a line of cupcakes long enough to feed five kindergarten classes. It's theNFL scheduling equivalent of majoring in basket weaving. It's like playing Madden on elementary school level (do they have that level?).
Am I saying the Texans will go 16-0?
(Intentionally not answering that rhetorical question on the 0.0000000000000001 percent chance they go 16-0, so I can point to this post and say"I was first".)
Let's get to come quick hit picks. I went 2-4 again last week, so choose to fade me if you like, but I'm feeling a bunco back, baby!
Texas A&M -33 over SMU I'm guessing Kevin Sumlin was very anxious to come into the season and show everyone that this A&M thing over the last couple years has been a "Coach Sumlin" thing and not a "Johnny Football" thing. Message received, Coach. The Aggies didn't even play well last week against Rice, and won 38-10. SMU is totally ill equipped to deal with what they're going to see on Saturday. This feels like a "name the score" situation.
Oklahoma/WEST VIRGINIA OVER 64.5 This is a chic upset pick for the weekend on the money line. I'm not ready to go there yet. After all, we are three weeks removed from West Virginia opening the season with a season win total in Vegas of 4.5. And now they're going to beat a top five team outright? A week after beating an under-the-radar rival (Maryland) in a revenge game on a last second field goal? I'm not buying it. I do think lots of points will be scored, though.
WASHING TON STATE +23.5 over Oregon I think Oregon is a little overrated this season, and I think at home Mike Leach can either a) make this one kind of interesting, or b) turn this into enough of a sloppy playground fest to backdoor this one.
Ravens -1 over BROWNS I kind of like the new weekly tradition of Cleveland Browns punter Spencer Lanning getting finding a new way to get his ass kicked. In Week 1, there was this...
Then in Week 2, we had this....
Spencer Lanning is becoming Kenny from South Park. I love that!
I also love that the Browns are coming off a last second upset of the New Orleans Saints at home! I don't think their equipped to handle a tough, experienced division foe after a win like that, especially one that can pressure Brian Hoyer, who handles pressure the same way Roger Goodell has handled the Adrian Peterson situation (i.e. he disappears).
SAINTS -10 over Vikings Speaking of Adrian Peterson....sorry, Vikings, this just feels like one of those "make good" games, where the Saints, who are finally playing their first home game, score about 45 and the Vikings' distractions from the last week all come catching down.
Packers +2 over LIONS Getting points with Aaron Rodgers against a division foe in this division? Yes, please. Don't care if it's on the road.
Last week: 2-4 Season total: 8-10
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