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Weather Week: Hot and Dry, but Rain May Be On the Way and Our First Tropical Disturbance?

When it finally decides to heat up around here, it doesn't mess around. Temperatures this week have been inching into the lower 90s and will continue on that pace right up until the weekend. Shockingly, we had a late-season cool front push through the area on Sunday. It brought with it a nice dose of rain and a few thunderstorms. While Houston isn't exactly floating away, we are in fairly good shape thus far. Only a sliver of northern Harris County is still in moderate drought conditions. The rest of us are either normal or "abnormally dry." Uh...moving on.

As high temperatures rise, low temps will do the same and those upper 60s and lower 70s in the mornings will be few and far between. Expect the heat in morning and during the day to continue right up until Friday, when things could change.

A weak cool front is forecast to move into the area Friday and it looks like it could produce rain right through the weekend. Forecasters aren't quite sure how it will shake out yet, but the Houston area stands a good chance of some rain between Friday afternoon and Sunday morning. For the time being, our rain chances are still a relatively low 40 percent on Friday and less through Sunday, but that could change.

 

A Look at the Tropics

As I wrote yesterday, hurricane season officially began last Saturday and will be with us through November. Forecasters expect it to be a pretty busy season and we already have our first area of interest. Invest 91L is being given a 30 percent chance of developing into a tropical storm by Thursday.

With wind shear in the Gulf pretty high through that time, there isn't a great chance it will develop, but wind shear will drop by the end of the week and we could see our first depression. If everything lines up, we could have Tropical Storm Andrea.

Unfortunately, Houston won't see any rain from the system. It is forecast to move north-northeast and eventually through Florida. There are some forecasters suggesting it might maintain its size as it moves up the East Coast drenching the entire coastline from Florida to New York. Florida could see five-plus inches of rain through the weekend.

June tends to be a quiet month for tropical storm development, but everyone should keep an eye on things. You never know.


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