BP Spill: Good News For Texas, Bad News For East Coast?

If there's anywhere that the majority of Americans are wishing the Deepwater Horizon oil would go to, it's probably Texas, the U.S. home of BP.

BP's in Houston? Send that oil to Galveston beaches and see how they like it!!

It looks, though, like that won't happen. Here's one simulation from the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, which studied wind, currents and other factors in computer test runs of where the slick might go.

"I've had a lot of people ask me, 'Will the oil reach Florida?'" says scientist Synte Peacock, who worked on the study. "Actually, our best knowledge says the scope of this environmental disaster is likely to reach far beyond Florida, with impacts that have yet to be understood."

But it won't reach Texas, apparently.

None of the other six test runs, all using different variations on data, showed it approaching us.

There are a whole lot of assumptions in the study, and as with anything concerning this spill, no one really has a handle on what will happen.

The computer simulations indicate that, once the oil in the uppermost ocean has become entrained in the Gulf of Mexico's fast-moving Loop Current, it is likely to reach Florida's Atlantic coast within weeks. It can then move north as far as about Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, with the Gulf Stream, before turning east. Whether the oil will be a thin film on the surface or mostly subsurface due to mixing in the uppermost region of the ocean is not known.

But for now, Texas looks safe. Much to the dismay of some people, we're sure.

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