Chances of Rain Appear to Be Increasing as Water-Logged Texans Brace for More Flooding

As forecasts begin to form a more accurate picture of what we should expect for weather this weekend, it isn't looking good unless you really, really like getting wet. While Friday looks to be relatively clear, rain chances increase sharply beginning Saturday to near 100 percent on Sunday (though the National Weather Service in Galveston is calling for closer to a 60 percent chance for Houston) and 60-70 percent on Monday. Certain areas of the state could see 2-3 inches of rain by Tuesday and even some seriously heavy downpours, hail and sporadic tornadoes.

As the screenshot to the right can attest, this has been a struggle for many who have slogged through soggy conditions for months now. It is a far cry from 2011 and 2012, when the entire state was under severe drought conditions, reaching some of the driest levels in decades. There were long stretches with no rain and temperatures well over 100 degrees. Now, it appears the pendulum has swung in the complete opposite direction with relatively mild temperatures and heavy rains.

The worst rains appear to likely be concentrated in central and south-central Texas. Many of these areas remain under flood watches with swollen rivers and tributaries yet to drain fully and soaked ground unable to absorb any more moisture. If you just look around at area bayous, it is easy to see that they are not dropping as rapidly as they typically do thanks to the immense amount of runoff and daily rainfall, sometimes in the form of severe storms.

To matters worse, forecasts are calling for around a 50 percent chance of rain throughout the entire week. This likely means occasional to frequent showers and thunderstorms across a wide area of central and southeast Texas through Saturday of next week.

Unfortunately, it looks like it will get worse before it gets better. So, batten down the hatches and stay dry.
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Jeff Balke is a writer, editor, photographer, tech expert and native Houstonian. He has written for a wide range of publications and co-authored the official 50th anniversary book for the Houston Rockets.
Contact: Jeff Balke