Embarrassing. That's the only word I can come up with to describe my performance last weekend. On a weekend where underdogs in the NFL covered at a 12-2 clip ATS, I could not have been any more square, going 1-5, with three of those losses being bets on NFL favorites. Now, it's time to get my mojo back.
Let's do this…
VANDERBILT +7 over Texas A&M
Vanderbilt's defense has been pretty stout all season, allowing an average of fewer than 10 points per game in their last four SEC games, which makes Houston's 34-0 win that much more impressive, just saying. Anyway, the one thing you can count on with a Vandy game is that it will be low scoring, which makes the seven points we are getting the same as getting like 10-14 points in a normally paced game. A&M has been atrocious offensively and Kyler Murray has been underwhelming. Aggies win, but it will be very close.
OHIO STATE -13.5 over Michigan State
Having lost plenty of equity this fall waiting on Ohio State to begin plundering teams, I can't believe I'm giving this out as a play, but Michigan State has been equally "just good, not great" as the Buckeyes, and their QB, Connor Cook, is battling injuries. I think these next three games, like last season's three-game postseason run, are where we start to see the real Ohio State we've all been expecting.
Mississippi State/ARKANSAS OVER 57.5
Just like last season, the Razorbacks have cranked up the offense in the second half of the season, averaging more than 50 points per game in the past four games, all wins. Mississippi State is licking its wounds a little bit, after getting pummeled by Alabama last week, but Dak Prescott should be able to move the ball on Arkansas.
Raiders/LIONS OVER 50.5
Both teams stink on defense and love to sling it around almost irresponsibly on offense. This has all the makings of a 38-31 kind of game. So we will take the over.
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BEARS -1 over Broncos
Normally, I wouldn't back John Fox and Jay Cutler in a "revenge fantasy special," but it's Gary Kubiak on the other side and Brock Osweiler in his first start.
VIKINGS -1.5 over Packers
Four weeks ago, the odds on Bovada for the Packers to win the NFC North were 1/50. That means you'd have to have laid FIVE GRAND just to win $100. If you decided to do that, may God have mercy on your degenerate soul. Now, a month later, the Vikings are in first place and the Packers are reeling. They can't run the football, Aaron Rodgers looks average and now they have to save their season on the road. I love the makeup of this Vikings team, and essentially just having to win the game at home, I love them in this spot.
Last Week: 1-5
Season Record: 31-34-1
Listen to Sean Pendergast on SportsRadio 610 from 2 to 7 p.m. weekdays. Also, follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SeanTPendergast and like him on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/SeanTPendergast.