There's a 70 percent chance a tropical storm will develop in the Gulf in Mexico's Bay of Campeche.
Computer models show a chance it could drift northward, strengthening and possibly becoming a large hurricane aimed at New Orleans or points east.
It won't come to Texas, the experts seem to agree, because of the huge dome of high pressure that is feeding the ongoing drought. That's why Lee didn't come near here.
Is this a good thing?
As the drought drags on, more and more people are wishing for a tropical storm to dump some rain and give hope to trees, lawns and foundations struggling to survive.
The trouble is, tropical storms don't always come in nicely packaged gifts that include relatively low winds, manageable rainfall and no loitering.
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You start out wanting some tropical rain, you can end up with 20 inches if a storm stalls.
Some are willing to take the chance. (Not, of course, that there's anything they or anyone can do about it.) To be honest, we're still too spooked from Tropical Storm Allison and its aftermath to ever wish for any tropical disturbance to go near Houston.
But we get the feeling we're part of a quickly shrinking minority. There are only two or three weeks left in Houston's hurricane season -- are you wanting to get hit? Take your chances that the small, quick-moving storm you're hoping for doesn't blow up into a Cat 4?