Walking around the Houston Arboretum on Sunday morning, it didn't feel like fall. There was a vague hint of something — it was breezy and, in the shade, felt milder than normal. But, the sun beat down and the humidity, as has been the case for weeks around here, was stifling.
For some, this is a godsend, particularly for people escaping here from already much cooler temperatures up north. For those of us who live through it every summer, it is torture akin to a snowy day in late April in northern climbs. Just as they want the groundhog not to see his shadow and avoid six more weeks of winter, we want that first cold front that will take us from mercilessly hot to moderately cooler, like San Diego in June.
Normally, this happens in the second or third week of September. This year, we've been made to wait a few additional weeks, but if appears to finally be on the way. Before that, a couple more days of typically late summer weather.
Monday and Tuesday will be much like the weekend. Highs will push toward 90 and it will be humid with a decent chance of showers or thunderstorms thanks to afternoon heating and moisture off the Gulf of Mexico. But, that will begin to taper late on Tuesday and into early Wednesday.
This isn't going to be one of those blue northers that takes the temperature from 80 to 60 in a matter of minutes. Instead a fairly sizable trough of low pressure will slowly move through Texas Wednesday and Thursday. As it does, things will begin to dry out, rain chances will plummet to near zero and temperatures, particularly at night, will gradually drop.
Wednesday and Thursday, under plenty of sun, the warm afternoons will remain in place with highs in the mid 80s, but the air will be much more dry and it won't have that sticky feel we've suffered with for some time now. Overnight lows will fall into the mid 60s and it should be quite pleasant outside in the mornings and evenings.
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By Friday, a surge of cooler air will filter in and the weekend looks absolutely fantastic, with highs around 80 and lows in the low 60s. Early next week, we could have days with highs in the low 70s.
It's finally coming after what has felt like a very long wait. Just a couple more days and we'll get a break from summer at last.
Watching the Tropics
We didn't think there was much more to watch, but an area of disturbed weather off the coast of Central America looks to soon become Tropical Storm Michael. It will move northward into the Gulf of Mexico and has a chance of perhaps developing into a hurricane as it moves north and ultimately northeast toward the central Gulf coast. It shouldn't have any impact on our weather. The front that will usher in cooler temperatures will help usher Michael well to our east. But, any storm in the Gulf is worth watching.