4
| Weather |

Possible Gulf Disturbance Could Affect Houston Area Later in the Week

What is right now just an area of low pressure could turn into a disturbance over the northern Gulf.
What is right now just an area of low pressure could turn into a disturbance over the northern Gulf.
National Hurricane Center
^
Keep Houston Press Free
I Support
  • Local
  • Community
  • Journalism
  • logo

Support the independent voice of Houston and help keep the future of Houston Press free.

Just over a month into hurricane season, the first decent chance for a tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center. Right now, it's just an area of low pressure over northern Alabama, but it is forecast to slowly move south-southeast over the next few days before emerging over the northern Gulf as we push toward the weekend.

The National Hurricane Center is giving this a 40 percent chance of development into a depression in five days, considered a modest, albeit still low, chance.

This type of storm is pretty common in the Gulf this time of year. Leftover low pressure systems can spin offshore and turn into something, but the probability of a hurricane right now, given the lack of bullishness in the forecast models, seems quite low.

There are a couple scenarios that could play out, one being the disturbance drifts west over the Gulf and winds up in the Houston area by perhaps Saturday or Sunday. The other is it spins a bit in the northern Gulf and eventually moves back north over the Florida panhandle.

At the moment, the chances it moves in our direction are pretty low. A ridge of high pressure bringing all the heat we've had the past few days will remain in place until late in the week, shielding us from storms like this, but that is forecast to erode by Thursday or Friday and could open the door to some tropical moisture off the Gulf if not a full-blown storm.

Since it is still five to seven days out, however, it's a good idea to monitor the situation just in case.

Keep the Houston Press Free... Since we started the Houston Press, it has been defined as the free, independent voice of Houston, and we would like to keep it that way. Offering our readers free access to incisive coverage of local news, food and culture. Producing stories on everything from political scandals to the hottest new bands, with gutsy reporting, stylish writing, and staffers who've won everything from the Society of Professional Journalists' Sigma Delta Chi feature-writing award to the Casey Medal for Meritorious Journalism. But with local journalism's existence under siege and advertising revenue setbacks having a larger impact, it is important now more than ever for us to rally support behind funding our local journalism. You can help by participating in our "I Support" membership program, allowing us to keep covering Houston with no paywalls.

We use cookies to collect and analyze information on site performance and usage, and to enhance and customize content and advertisements. By clicking 'X' or continuing to use the site, you agree to allow cookies to be placed. To find out more, visit our cookies policy and our privacy policy.

 

Join the Press community and help support independent local journalism in Houston.

 

Join the Press community and help support independent local journalism in Houston.