Yeah, you heard me. It might sound like a bold prediction, but it's actually safer than you think.
I've often told my friends that my favorite day of the year is October 1. The reason for this is that football season has started, basketball training camp is about to open, the holidays are on the way, the first cool fronts are about to make their way through Houston (if they haven't already) and, for our area, hurricane season is over. Of course, this is the first week of September, not October, but Christmas might be coming a little early for us this year.
The graphic above is a series of model runs on Invest 90l or the little gift Hurricane Isaac left behind. After Isaac moved into the Midwest, the storm split in two, with half moving off to the Northeast and the other half migrating towards the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center thinks this disturbance has some chance of developing, but note how all the models whip that bad boy around and send it east. That is all thanks to our first cool front of the year.
Said front will be making its way through the area by late Saturday or early Sunday, dropping daytime temps into the high 80s and overnight lows into the 60s, the first time we've seen that in several months.
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And while that change will be relatively moderate despite the high 90s we are experiencing at the moment, it will be a massive change compared to last year. In August last year, we had 30 days of 100-degree weather. This year, we did not crack the century mark.
After the first front of the year makes it through our area, it is a safe bet others will follow and as that occurs, it signals the end to hurricane season 'round these here parts. Hurricane season officially continues through November, but we RARELY see a storm after the third week of September. This year, with early cool fronts like the one coming this weekend, that end would appear to be even sooner.
This doesn't mean we couldn't see a little tropical moisture. A stalled frontal boundary could spin up into a disturbance, but the reality of a strong storm of the tropical variety entering our sphere this season is exceedingly low. Still, keep those extra batteries and water on hand. You might need them next year.