It is mid-June and we already have another tropical disturbance to deal with. In this case, it is a depression that has formed near Belize in the western Caribbean Sea. It formed rather quickly and is expected to traverse portions of Central America and Mexico before emerging in the Bay of Campeche. It is not expected to be a threat to the U.S., but it could become the second tropical storm of the year if it manages to organize enough before making a second landfall on the Mexican coastline in the southern Gulf of Mexico.
If it were to reach tropical storm strength, it would be named Barry and represent a rare second named storm in June. On average, the Atlantic sees one named storm in the month of June every two years. We've already had our first and this could be the second.
Forecasters have called for a busy hurricane season this year with as many as 16 or 17 named storms. While storms this early do not represent a pattern -- it's way too early to determine that -- it is worth noting that this is a rare occurrence. At the moment, sea surface temperatures, one of the driving factors in tropical storm formation, are warmer than normal, but not warmer than last year at this time on the whole.
But we are just at the beginning of the season, so it's always a good idea to stay aware and prepared.
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